Bayer Leverkusen approach the final round of the Champions League league phase knowing that a victory will confirm their place in the playoffs, and the Bunddesliga side will feel confident against already-eliminated Villarreal side. As Bayer want this win more than Villarreal, we predict a 3-2 home win. Towering centre-back Edmond Tapsoba is expected to be rested again following his AFCON return, but Leverkusen’s defensive numbers at home remain solid, with 40% clean sheets and 1.31 xGA per match. Their attack has also shown reliability at the BayArena, averaging 3.00 goals per home game and failing to score in none of their home fixtures.
Villarreal, on the other hand, have nothing to play for in Wednesday's game as they missed out on a spot in the playoffs after collecting only one point in total from possible 21.. Away from home, the Yellow Submarine concede 1.50 goals per match and have taken only 1.00 point per game, further underlining their struggles. Santiago Mourino is suspended for the visiting team, while Cabanes, Costa, and Kambwala all miss out through injury, leaving their defence noticeably weakened.
With far more at stake and superior underlying metrics, Leverkusen should control the tempo and create enough chances to cruise past the out-of-contention visitors. Therefore, we predict Home Win, alongside Bayer Leverkusen Over 1.5 goals an Over 2.5 goals total.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 28 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Bayer Leverkusen vs Villarreal prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 2 Villarreal
Bayer Leverkusen vs Villarreal Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrik Schick @ 120 Odds
- To be booked: Tajon Buchanan @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bayer Leverkusen -0.5 @ -143 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 12.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferBayer Leverkusen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllw | 1.30 |
| Home | ldwlw | 1.40 |
| Away | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.66 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.31 | 1.72 |
Villarreal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlll | 1.00 |
| Home | llwll | 1.00 |
| Away | dlwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 1.47 | 2.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.49 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Villarreal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bayer Leverkusen (0%)
4 Matches
Villarreal (75%)
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