Man City are desperate to make amends for a shocking Champions League loss to Bayer Leverkusen and we predict that they will do so with a routine 4-1 triumph over Leeds United. The Citizens failed to impress in the midweek clash, but it has to be noted that Pep Guardiola decided to rest Erling Haaland. With Erling Haaland returning to the starting XI and Man City and Man City averaging 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 home fixtures, Home Team Over 1.5 seems like a sure bet.
The Whites, on the other hand, failed to impress in a 2-1 loss to Aston Villa. With Leeds United losing 83% of their last 6 away games in the national championship, we do not believe that they are capable of spoiling Man City’s party at Etihad Stadium. Adding to their woes, important midfielder Anton Stach limped off with injury in the last league match.
Given Manchester City’s almost perfect home record (5-0-1) and Leeds United’s struggles on the road, Home Team -1.5 and Man City HT/FT are our main betting picks for this encounter.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 29 November 2025 at 15:00.
What is our Man City vs Leeds United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Man City 4 - 1 Leeds United
Man City vs Leeds United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 4-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ -225 Odds
- To be booked: Jayden Bogle @ 200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 9.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 12.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMan City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwll | 2.10 |
| Home | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Away | wwlwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.99 | 2.13 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.92 | 0.94 | 0.90 |
Leeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlll | 0.80 |
| Home | ddlwl | 1.00 |
| Away | lwlll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.52 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.23 | 1.35 |
Man City vs Leeds United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Man City (71%)
7 Matches
Leeds United (14%)
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