Atletico Madrid host Deportivo Alaves to their Estadio Wanda Metropolitano where home advantage and squad depth will be crucial. As Alaves have been struggling on the travels this season, our prediction firmly points toward 3-0 home win. Diego Simeone’s side have no fresh injury worries, although the likes of Nico Gonzalez, Koke, and Clement Lenglet remain sidelined. Atletico’s form has been solid (wwwdl), winning 60% of their matches overall, scoring 1.80 goals per game, and averaging 3.10 goals per match in all competitions. At home, they are particularly strong, winning 75% of matches, keeping clean sheets in 25%, and registering an expected goals of 1.82.
Alaves, meanwhile, aim to recover from a 3-1 defeat to Villarreal, with midfielder Carlos Prostestoni returning from suspension. Their form (lwldl) highlights inconsistency, and they have scored only 0.90 goals per match overall, conceding 1.40. Away from home, their struggles intensify, netting just 1.00 goal per game while conceding 2.00. H2H stats favor Atletico, with 10 wins from 17 meetings.
Los Rojiblancos have turned their stadium into a real fortress and given Alaves' struggles on the road, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Atletico Madrid to Win to Nil and Over 2.5 goals (65% of H2H matches saw multiple goals).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 18 January 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Alaves prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Alaves
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ -150 Odds
- To be Booked: Pablo Ibanez @ 200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Atletico Madrid vs Alaves?
You can place your bets on Atletico Madrid vs Alaves at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdl | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Away | lwwwd | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.75 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.82 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.36 | 1.64 |
Alaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldl | 1.00 |
| Home | lwlwd | 1.40 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.41 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.32 | 1.53 |
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (59%)
17 Matches
Alaves (12%)
Everton
Manchester United
Club Brugge
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiacos
Inter
Bodo Glimt
Newcastle
Qarabag
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
