Mozambique will look to claim a major scalp when they face Nigeria in the 2025 AFCON last 16, but given the Super Eagles’ attacking potential, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. Eric Chelle’s men aim to keep their 100% record at the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. Nigeria have been averaging 2.66 goals per game at the showpiece tournament in Morocco, meaning that Home Win Over 2.5 goals bet boasts big value. Panathinaikos forward Cyriel Dessers is the only absentee for the Super Eagles, but he would not have started regardless.
The Mambas, on the other hand, booked their place in the last 16 despite suffering a 2-1 loss to Cameroon in their last group game. Mozambique have been struggling defensively at the 2025 AFCON, with the team conceding 1.66 goals per game and they face yet another uphill task against Victor Osimhen and Co. Both Nene and Diogo Calila are rated doubtful for the nominal visitors.
Nigeria are leading the H2H, beating Mozambique in each of their last four encounters in all competitions. With the Super Eagles scoring goals for fun at the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations, Home Win is our main betting tip, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals.
This Africa Cup of Nations 2025 match will be played on Monday 5 January 2026 at 19:00.
What is our Nigeria vs Mozambique prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Nigeria 2 - 1 Mozambique
Nigeria vs Mozambique Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Victor Osimhen @ -111 Odds
- To be booked: Ricardo Guimaraes @ 110 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferNigeria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwww | 2.30 |
| Home | wwdww | 2.67 |
| Away | dwlw | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.59 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.89 | 1.03 | 0.69 |
Mozambique Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlwl | 1.00 |
| Home | wll | 1.00 |
| Away | wldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.67 | 2.57 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.86 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.33 | 1.71 |
| BTTS | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Expected Goals | 0.79 | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.15 | 1.59 |
Nigeria vs Mozambique Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Nigeria (100%)
1 Matches
Mozambique (0%)
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