Augsburg aim to get back on course after a poor run that includes four defeats in their last five matches, but given their difficulties up front, we predict a 2-1 Freiburg win. Defensive absences Matsima and Gouweleeuw are noted for the hosts, but neither has been central enough recently to dramatically alter their structure. At home, the Bavarians are more competitive with 1.17 PPG and a 50% clean-sheet rate, yet their biggest issue remains in attack—just 0.50 goals scored per match and a 67% failure-to-score rate in home fixtures. Their expected numbers (1.43 xG at home) suggest they create more than they convert, but the finishing problem persists.
Freiburg arrive after a midweek setback at Leipzig, though their recent league form is solid with 1.70 PPG and three wins from the last five. Injuries to Lienhart and Rosenfelder weaken their defensive depth, but the visitors are generally reliable: an 80% home win rate, and even away from home they pose danger, scoring 1.40 goals per away match. However, they concede heavily on the road (2.60 per game) and keep just 20% clean sheets.
Considering Freiburg's better form and superior H2H record, we predict Away Win, alongside Freiburg Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total as both sides show defensive weakness.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 18 January 2026 at 16:30.
What is our Augsburg vs Freiburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Augsburg 1 - 2 Freiburg
Augsburg vs Freiburg Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Lucas Holer @ 200 Odds
- To be booked: Elvis Rexhbecaj @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAugsburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldl | 0.70 |
| Home | llwwd | 1.17 |
| Away | llll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.83 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.33 | 2.75 |
| BTTS | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.43 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.41 | 1.58 |
Freiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwl | 1.70 |
| Home | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Away | ldlwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 2.17 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 0.92 | 1.93 |
Augsburg vs Freiburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Augsburg (28%)
29 Matches
Freiburg (45%)
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