Bayer Leverkusen will look to bounce back from a narrow 1-0 loss to Union Berlin and despite Loic Bade's fresh injury, our prediction points toward a 3-1 home win. Leverkusen remain formidable at home, winning all four of their league fixtures at BayArena and averaging 2.75 goals while keeping clean sheets in every home game. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.51 per home match highlights their attacking quality, while conceding just 1.07 xGA makes them hard to break down.
Mainz head into the match after a 1-1 draw with Hamburg, missing defender Silvan Widmer through suspension. Die Nullfunfer have been inconsistent on the road, winning only 25% of away matches and keeping no clean sheets, though they have scored in 75% of their away games. Their xGA of 1.92 away suggests defensive vulnerability against high-quality attacks like Leverkusen’s.
H2H stats favor Leverkusen, with 57% wins in the last 35 encounters, and 54% of meetings have gone over 2.5 goals. Given Bayer Leverkusen's dominant home form and strong attack, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 1 Mainz
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 4000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 220 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gabriel Jesus @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gabriel Jesus @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Dominik Kohr @ 120 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bayer Leverkusen +1.5 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Bayer Leverkusen +2 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Bayer Leverkusen to Win @ 300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Bayer Leverkusen to Win/Bayer Leverkusen to Win @ 850 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Arsenal - No @ -163 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz?
You can place your bets on Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferBayer Leverkusen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwwwdwwl | 1.90 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | llwdwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.75 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.75 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.51 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.07 | 1.22 |
Mainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwlwwwld | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwwwd | 2.33 |
| Away | dlwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.17 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.50 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.65 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.12 | 1.92 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bayer Leverkusen (57%)
35 Matches
Mainz (26%)
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