Bayer Leverkusen return to BayArena looking to maintain their excellent home form, where they average 2.40 points per game and boast an 80% home win rate. As St. Pauli struggle on the travels, we predict a 3-0 home win. Despite a 1-1 draw against Borussia M’gladbach last time out, Leverkusen remain one of the league’s most balanced sides, scoring 2.8 goals per home match while conceding just 0.8. With Ernest Poku expected to return to the XI, the hosts should regain some attacking fluency. Their xG numbers (1.59 at home) also underline their consistency in chance creation.
St. Pauli, meanwhile, arrive on the back of a confidence-boosting 2-1 win over Stuttgart, but their away form remains a major concern. The visitors have taken just 0.20 points per game on the road, losing four of their last five away fixtures. Defensively they struggle heavily away from home, conceding 2.00 goals per away match. Their xGA of 1.35 away further highlights their vulnerability.
The recent DFB-Pokal meeting between these sides ended 3-0 to Leverkusen, and the H2H strongly favours the hosts, who have won five of six encounters. Therefore, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Bayer Leverkusen Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (Leverkusen average 2.8 home goals; Pauli concede plenty away).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 0 St Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrik Schick @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patrik Schick @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Manolis Saliakas @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bayer Leverkusen -0.5 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Bayer Leverkusen +1 @ -700 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -500 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Bayer Leverkusen to Win @ -550 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Bayer Leverkusen to Win/Bayer Leverkusen to Win @ 130 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Bayer Leverkusen - Yes @ 110 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli?
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View OfferBayer Leverkusen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwd | 1.90 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wllwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.59 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.10 | 1.52 |
St Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddllw | 1.00 |
| Home | wdddw | 1.80 |
| Away | dllll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.22 | 1.35 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bayer Leverkusen (83%)
6 Matches
St Pauli (0%)
Hamburg
Schalke
Armenia Bielefeld
Elversberg
Magdeburg
Bayern Munich
Monchengladbach
PSG
Monaco
Paderborn
Braunschweig
