What is our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction?
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Our prediction for this match: Borussia Dortmund 2 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Preview
Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen face each other at Signal-Iduna-Park in what promises to be a thrilling Bundesliga derby, with 2-1 our predicted outcome. The Yellow-Blacks are eyeing a fifth consecutive league win and head into this clash in strong form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches (2.20 PPG). Their attacking output has been impressive, averaging 2.20 goals per game, while maintaining a solid 40% clean sheet rate. Despite the suspension of Karim Adeyemi, the hosts still boast plenty of firepower.
Bayer Leverkusen, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency (1.20 PPG), but their matches remain high-scoring, with an average of 3.10 total goals. The BayArena outfit net 1.60 goals per game but concede 1.50, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. However, the return of Aleix Garcia adds balance to the midfield. Historically, this fixture delivers entertainment, with 60% of the last 40 meetings producing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 60%.
Given Dortmund’s superior form and home strength (80% win rate), they look well placed to edge this encounter, but Leverkusen’s attacking threat should not be underestimated.
Given Borussia Dortmund's better form and excellent home record, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Both Teams to Score, and Over 2.5 goals (60% H2H).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday, 11 April 2026 at 14:30.
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Sat 11 Apr, 14:30UK time
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen | 8/1 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 3/10 | |
| Draw No Bet: Borussia Dortmund | 1/2 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund | 21/10 | |
| Asian Handicap: Borussia Dortmund 0 | 19/40 | |
| European Handicap: Bayer Leverkusen +2 | 3/10 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy | 5/6 | |
| First Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy | 7/2 | |
| To be Booked: Robert Andrich | 7/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheet: No | 1/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferBorussia Dortmund Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdllwwww | 2.20 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | wdlww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.61 | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.05 | 1.60 |
Bayer Leverkusen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddwdddldw | 1.20 |
| Home | ddddw | 1.40 |
| Away | lwdld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.67 | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.15 | 1.63 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Borussia Dortmund (50%)
40 Matches
Bayer Leverkusen (28%)
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Past Results
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