Borussia Dortmund head into the last game of Saturday's program full of confidence after consecutive wins over Koln and Augsburg, results that pushed their title charge back on track. As Hamburg suit Borussia Dortmund, our prediction firmly points toward a 3-1 home win. With 1.90 points per game across their last 10 matches and an impressive 67% home win rate, the Yellow-Blacks remain strong at Signal Iduna Park despite Daniel Svensson being doubtful. Dortmund average 3.50 total goals per match, scoring 2.17 at home, while keeping 50% clean sheets on their own turf. Their xG of 1.46 at home reflects steady attacking output.
Hamburger SV arrive without fresh injury concerns and sitting mid-table, but their recent numbers show resilience. Die Rothosen have taken 2.00 points per game away from home, keeping 50% clean sheets on the road and conceding just 0.50 goals per away match. Their overall xG (1.32) suggests they can threaten if given space, though consistency remains an issue with just 30% wins in their last 10 matches.
Historically, Dortmund hold a slight edge, winning 12 of the last 25 meetings, with 60% of H2H clashes finishing over 2.5 goals. Given Borussia's excellent home form (2.00 PPG, 67% win rate) and better overall momentum, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Bundesliga encounter, alongside Borussia -1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (Dortmund games average 3.50 goals; H2H also shows 60% over 2.5).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Borussia Dortmund 3 - 1 Hamburg
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy @ -150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy @ 275 Odds
- To be Booked: Nicolas Capaldo @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Borussia Dortmund -1 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Borussia Dortmund -1 @ 105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -600 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Borussia Dortmund to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Borussia Dortmund to Win/Borussia Dortmund to Win @ 105 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Borussia Dortmund - No @ -163 Odds
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View OfferBorussia Dortmund Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwwdllww | 1.90 |
| Home | lwwwlw | 2.00 |
| Away | wdlw | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.33 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.46 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.23 | 1.62 |
Hamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dddwwdllwd | 1.40 |
| Home | ddwlld | 1.00 |
| Away | dwdw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.48 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Borussia Dortmund (48%)
25 Matches
Hamburg (40%)
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