What is our Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz prediction?
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 1
Mainz
Our prediction for this match: Borussia Dortmund 3 - 1 Mainz
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Preview
Borussia Dortmund face Mainz at Signal Iduna Park aiming to extend their strong home form. As Mainz struggle defensively on the road, our prediction firmly points toward a 3-1 home win. Even with Nico Schlotterbeck suspended, BVB have enough depth at centre-back to cope. The Yellow-Blacks continue to look sharp in attack, averaging 2.2 goals per home match and posting an overall xG of 1.60, while their defensive numbers at home are solid with only 1.07 xGA.
Mainz head into the match in excellent form themselves, winning four of their last five, including a convincing 2-0 victory over Augsburg. Urs Fischer is expected to keep the same XI, and Mainz’s confidence is backed by numbers: die Nullfunfer concede only 0.40 goals per game at home this season, though their away defensive record collapses to 1.60 conceded and 2.16 xGA. Their matches on the road are high-event, averaging 3.20 total goals with 100% BTTS away.
Borussia Dortmund have turned their Signal-Iduna-Park into a real fortress and given their H2H dominance, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Bundesliga clash, alongside BTTS (Mainz 100% BTTS away, Dortmund rarely keep clean sheets), and Over 2.5 goals (51% H2H).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Friday, 13 February 2026 at 19:30.
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Fri 13 Feb, 19:30UK time
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance12 | 2/9 | |
| Draw No BetBorussia Dortmund | 1/4 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeBorussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund | 6/4 | |
| Asian HandicapBorussia Dortmund -0.5 | 3/5 | |
| European HandicapMainz +3 | 1/6 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5 Goals | 6/4 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | 2/9 | |
| Clean SheetBorussia Dortmund: No | 4/9 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerSerhou Guirassy | 5/6 | |
| First GoalscorerSerhou Guirassy | 10/3 | |
| To be BookedDominik Kohr | 8/5 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 13/8 |
Where Can You Place Bets on Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz?
You can place your bets on Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferBorussia Dortmund Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwwlwlww | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Away | ddlww | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.07 | 1.67 |
Mainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwddwlwww | 1.90 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Away | dddlw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.64 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.05 | 2.16 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Borussia Dortmund (60%)
35 Matches
Mainz (20%)
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Feyenoord
Inter
Barcelona
Aston Villa
Manchester United
AS Roma
Villarreal
PSG
Atletico Madrid
Bayern Munich
Fenerbahçe
Liverpool
