Freiburg will try to return to winning ways in Bundesliga after an entertaining 3-3 draw with Bayer Leverkusen, with no new injuries reported. As Union Berlin are hit by suspensions, we predict a 2-1 home win. Kubler and Rosenfelder remain sidelined, but Freiburg’s home form has been superb: 2.60 points per game, four wins in their last five, and an impressive 80% home win rate. Their matches at Europa-Park Stadion average 2.80 goals, while an xG of 1.67 at home highlights strong chance creation. Defensively the hosts can still look shaky at the back, but clean sheets in 40% of home fixtures show improvement.
The capital club, meanwhile, travel low on confidence after a 4-1 defeat to Werder Bremen and will be without suspended duo Andras Schafer and Leopold Querfeld. Union’s away form is worrying—0.40 points per game, no away wins, scoring just 1.00 goal per away match. Their BTTS rate is high (80% away), but defensive issues persist, conceding 1.80 goals per away outing.
Historically, Union Berlin have the upper hand in H2H (8 wins to 3), but current form strongly favours Freiburg, especially at home. Given Freiburg's outstanding home record and Union’s struggles on the road, Home Win should be considered, alongside Over 2.5 goals (56% H2H) and Union Berlin to Score First.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:30.
What is our Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Freiburg 2 - 1 Union Berlin
Freiburg vs Union Berlin Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Lucas Holer @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Lucas Holer @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Rani Khedira @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: SC Freiburg 0 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Union Berlin +3 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: SC Freiburg to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: SC Freiburg to Win/SC Freiburg to Win @ 250 Odds
- Clean Sheet: SC Freiburg - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferFreiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwdlwld | 1.40 |
| Home | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Away | lldll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.67 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.45 | 1.77 |
Union Berlin Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dddlldlwll | 0.70 |
| Home | dldwl | 1.00 |
| Away | ddlll | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.23 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.34 | 1.44 |
Freiburg vs Union Berlin Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Freiburg (19%)
16 Matches
Union Berlin (50%)
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