Hamburg host RB Leipzig in a clash with high stakes as Ole Werner's men push for a Champions League berth. With the Red Bulls producing fine displays on the travels, our prediction firmly points toward 2-1 away win. HSV welcome back defender Luka Vuskovic from suspension, boosting their defence after a mixed run of form, including two draws and two wins in their last five. Die Rothosen have been solid at home, averaging 1.80 points per game and 1.80 goals scored, with BTTS hitting in 80% of their home fixtures. Their xG of 1.62 suggests they are creating chances, though defensive lapses have led to conceding 1.40 goals per game.
Leipzig head into Sunday's game after a 2-2 draw with Borussia Dortmund, missing midfielder Xaver Schlager through injury. The Red Bulls have been stronger on the road, winning 50% of their away matches and scoring 1.50 goals per game. Their xG of 1.45 away highlights attacking efficiency, while their defence has been steadier away, conceding just 1.00 goals on average.
Considering dominant H2H record and superior away form, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals as (71% H2H and both sides’ attacking tendencies).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 18:30.
What is our Hamburg vs Leipzig prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hamburg 1 - 2 Leipzig
Hamburg vs Leipzig Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Romulo da Cruz @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Romulo da Cruz @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Nicolas Capaldo @ 110 Odds
- Asian Handicap: RB Leipzig -0.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Hamburg +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: RB Leipzig to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: RB Leipzig to Win/RB Leipzig to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: RB Leipzig - No @ -334 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Hamburg vs Leipzig?
You can place your bets on Hamburg vs Leipzig at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferHamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldldddwwd | 1.40 |
| Home | wdddw | 1.80 |
| Away | lldwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.62 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.24 | 1.57 |
Leipzig Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwdlwldd | 1.20 |
| Home | lwlldd | 0.83 |
| Away | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.17 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.81 | 2.10 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.38 | 1.20 |
Hamburg vs Leipzig Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hamburg (14%)
7 Matches
Leipzig (71%)
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