Hamburg will be aiming to record their first win of the season when they face Mainz on Matchday 2. Die Rothosen were beaten 2-0 by Borussia Dortmund in their opener, managing only 0.91 xG, and will need a much sharper attacking display here. Hamburg have won five of their last 10 matches in all competitions, scoring 1.90 goals per game, while their home fixtures have averaged 4.00 goals. Interestingly, BTTS has landed in all three of their most recent home matches. Both Muheim and Rossing-Lelesiit are injured, while summer signing Terem Moffi is pushing for his first start.
Mainz were held to a disappointing goalless draw by Paderborn despite registering 21 shots, but their overall numbers remain highly impressive. Die Nullfunfer have won eight of their last 10 matches, scoring a remarkable 3.80 goals per game while conceding only 0.50. Their away record is particularly striking, with six goals scored per game across their last four matches. Martel, Nebel and Silas remain sidelined, but Mainz should still have enough firepower to trouble Hamburg.
Hamburg’s home games average four goals, while Mainz's away 6.00. Therefore, we believe that there is big value in betting on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Hamburg vs Mainz prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hamburg 2 - 2 Mainz
Hamburg vs Mainz Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patson Daka @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patson Daka @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Nicolas Capaldo @ -188 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Hamburg +0.5 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Frosinone -3 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -188 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Hamburg to Win @ 110 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Mainz - No @ -334 Odds
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View OfferHamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdlwldwwl | 1.70 |
| Home | wld | 1.33 |
| Away | wdlwwwl | 1.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 57% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 4.00 | 3.14 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.86 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 0.95 | 1.64 |
Mainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwdwwwd | 2.60 |
| Home | wwwwwd | 2.67 |
| Away | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.30 | 2.67 | 6.75 |
| Scored | 3.80 | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| Conceded | 0.50 | 0.33 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.01 | 1.30 | 3.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.97 | 0.90 | 1.08 |
Hamburg vs Mainz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hamburg (27%)
22 Matches
Mainz (32%)
Hamburg vs Mainz Past Results
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