Hamburg aim to build on a 2-1 win over Stuttgart and given their strong home record, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win. HSV's attacking potential at Volksparkstadion has been particularly encouraging, with the Red Shorts scoring 1.80 goals per home game and generating 1.73 xG, numbers that highlight a consistently threatening frontline. Defensively, Hamburg remain solid at home, conceding just 0.80 goals per match, and keeping 20% of clean sheets despite a generally mixed overall form. However, they still fail to score in 20% of home fixtures, a reminder of their occasional inconsistency in the final third. Robert Glatzel is likely to miss out through injury, while defender Alexander Rossing-Lelesiit is suspended, though neither is considered a key first-team figure.
Werder Bremen travel with respectable overall form, averaging 1.50 points per game, and showing an improved defensive performance at home, but their away form remains unstable. On the road, the Green-Whites concede 1.80 goals per game, backed by a worrying 2.48 expected goals against, which suggests recurring issues when absorbing pressure away from Bremen. That said, they still score 1.40 goals per away match, making them capable of troubling any backline. With 40% BTTS in both home and away matches and an overall win rate of 40%, Werder remain competitive but unpredictable. Fit-again defender Niklas Stark is suspended for this derby, though his absence is not expected to significantly affect the visitors.
The H2H record slightly favours Werder, who have won 13 of the last 26 encounters, but given Hamburg’s stronger home numbers Home Win is our main betting tip for this encounter, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals and Over 9.5 corners.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 7 December 2025 at 14:30.
What is our Hamburg vs Werder Bremen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hamburg 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Hamburg vs Werder Bremen Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Victor Boniface @ 175 Odds
- To be booked: Yukinari Sugawara @ 125 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Hamburg vs Werder Bremen?
You can place your bets on Hamburg vs Werder Bremen at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferHamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldlw | 1.40 |
| Home | wwldw | 2.00 |
| Away | dlwll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.73 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
Werder Bremen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwld | 1.50 |
| Home | lwwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | wlddl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.73 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.83 | 1.19 | 2.48 |
Hamburg vs Werder Bremen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hamburg (35%)
26 Matches
Werder Bremen (50%)
