Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips | 14/02/2026

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Prediction and Betting Tips | 14 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

10 February 2026 • 18:04 UTC • 1 min read

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Prediction and Betting Tips 14 February 2026

Hoffenheim will be aiming to bounce back from a heavy 5-1 defeat to Bayern when they face Freiburg on Saturday. As their superb home record (five straight wins) offers confidence, we predict a 2-1 home win. Defender Kevin Akpoguma is suspended for the hosts, but Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side have been excellent at their own ground, averaging 3.20 goals scored and conceding just 0.60. Overall, Hoffenheim’s 70% win rate and 3.30 goals per game underline their attacking efficiency, supported by strong underlying numbers at home (1.71 xG).

Freiburg, sitting 7th, arrive after a tight 1-0 win over Werder Bremen, but will be without suspended midfielder Johan Manzambi. The visitors remain very solid at home but far less convincing away, taking just 0.80 PPG on the road and conceding 1.80 goals on average. They also fail to score in 60% of away fixtures, a worrying sign against one of the league’s top home sides.

Given Hoffenheim's excellent winning run at home, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals (56% H2H) and Hoffenheim Over 1.5.

This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 14:30.

What is our Hoffenheim vs Freiburg prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Freiburg

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Betting Tips

Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Adam Hlozek @ 162 Odds
First Goalscorer: Adam Hlozek @ 550 Odds
To be Booked: Kevin Akpoguma @ 137 Odds
Asian Handicap: TSG Hoffenheim -0.5 @ -143 Odds
European Handicap: SC Freiburg +2 @ -250 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
Draw No Bet: TSG Hoffenheim to Win @ -334 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: TSG Hoffenheim to Win/TSG Hoffenheim to Win @ 162 Odds
Clean Sheet: TSG Hoffenheim - No @ -225 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Hoffenheim vs Freiburg?

You can place your bets on Hoffenheim vs Freiburg at the following bookmakers:

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Hoffenheim Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwwl	2.20
Home	wwwww	3.00
Away	ldwwl	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	100%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	3.30	3.80	2.80
Scored	2.20	3.20	1.20
Conceded	1.10	0.60	1.60
BTTS	50%	60%	40%
Clean Sheets	40%	40%	40%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	40%
Expected Goals	1.42	1.71	1.12
Expected Goals Against	1.52	1.30	1.74

Freiburg Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwllw	1.70
Home	dwwww	2.60
Away	wldll	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	80%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	2.00	3.00
Scored	1.30	1.40	1.20
Conceded	1.20	0.60	1.80
BTTS	50%	60%	40%
Clean Sheets	20%	40%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	0%	60%
Expected Goals	1.42	1.79	1.05
Expected Goals Against	1.50	1.32	1.68