Hoffenheim aim to return to winning ways in Bundesliga following a 2-2 draw with FC Koln and given St. Pauli's difficulties on the road, we predict that the hosts will do so with a routine 3-1 win. Christian Ilzer is missing injured forwards Hlozek, Lemperle, and Machida, but despite these absences, the home side have been in fine form, winning all five of their recent home games and averaging 3.20 goals per match at Rhein-Neckar-Arena. Hoffenheim concede just 0.60 goals per home match while maintaining a 40% clean sheet rate, highlighting a balanced approach between attack and defence. Their xG of 1.88 at home suggests they are creating ample chances.
St. Pauli, meanwhile, aim to build on a 2-1 win over Werder Bremen, though Jones, Nemeth, and Hountondji are sidelined. The visitors have struggled away from home, losing all five of their away matches and scoring only 0.80 goals per game. Their defensive fragility is evident with 2.80 goals conceded per away match, while BTTS has occurred in 60% of their games this season.
Considering Hoffenheim's splendid home form and superior scoring, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Bundesliga clash, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Hoffenheim Over 1.5.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Hoffenheim vs St Pauli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hoffenheim 3 - 1 St Pauli
Hoffenheim vs St Pauli Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Adam Hlozek @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Adam Hlozek @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Kevin Akpoguma @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: TSG Hoffenheim -1 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: St Pauli +3 @ -500 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: TSG Hoffenheim to Win @ -600 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: TSG Hoffenheim to Win/TSG Hoffenheim to Win @ 120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: TSG Hoffenheim - No @ -138 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Hoffenheim vs St Pauli?
You can place your bets on Hoffenheim vs St Pauli at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferHoffenheim Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwwwwlwd | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | dwwld | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.88 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.26 | 1.68 |
St Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllddllwlw | 0.90 |
| Home | dddww | 1.80 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.07 | 1.43 |
Hoffenheim vs St Pauli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hoffenheim (33%)
6 Matches
St Pauli (33%)
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