What is our Hoffenheim vs St Pauli prediction?
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
St Pauli
Our prediction for this match: Hoffenheim 3 - 1 St Pauli
Hoffenheim vs St Pauli Preview
Hoffenheim aim to return to winning ways in Bundesliga following a 2-2 draw with FC Koln and given St. Pauli's difficulties on the road, we predict that the hosts will do so with a routine 3-1 win. Christian Ilzer is missing injured forwards Hlozek, Lemperle, and Machida, but despite these absences, the home side have been in fine form, winning all five of their recent home games and averaging 3.20 goals per match at Rhein-Neckar-Arena. Hoffenheim concede just 0.60 goals per home match while maintaining a 40% clean sheet rate, highlighting a balanced approach between attack and defence. Their xG of 1.88 at home suggests they are creating ample chances.
St. Pauli, meanwhile, aim to build on a 2-1 win over Werder Bremen, though Jones, Nemeth, and Hountondji are sidelined. The visitors have struggled away from home, losing all five of their away matches and scoring only 0.80 goals per game. Their defensive fragility is evident with 2.80 goals conceded per away match, while BTTS has occurred in 60% of their games this season.
Considering Hoffenheim's splendid home form and superior scoring, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Bundesliga clash, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Hoffenheim Over 1.5.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday, 28 February 2026 at 14:30.
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Sat 28 Feb, 14:30UK time
Hoffenheim vs St Pauli Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreHoffenheim 3-1 St Pauli | 11/1 | |
| Double Chance12 | 2/11 | |
| Draw No BetTSG Hoffenheim | 1/6 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeTSG Hoffenheim / TSG Hoffenheim | 6/5 | |
| Asian HandicapTSG Hoffenheim -1 | 3/4 | |
| European HandicapSt Pauli +3 | 1/5 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 19/20 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5 Goals | 2/1 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Clean SheetTSG Hoffenheim: No | 8/11 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerAdam Hlozek | 11/8 | |
| First GoalscorerAdam Hlozek | 9/2 | |
| To be BookedKevin Akpoguma | 15/8 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 8/5 |
Where Can You Place Bets on Hoffenheim vs St Pauli?
You can place your bets on Hoffenheim vs St Pauli at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferHoffenheim Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwwwwlwd | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | dwwld | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.88 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.26 | 1.68 |
St Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllddllwlw | 0.90 |
| Home | dddww | 1.80 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.07 | 1.43 |
Hoffenheim vs St Pauli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hoffenheim (33%)
6 Matches
St Pauli (33%)
Hoffenheim vs St Pauli Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Feyenoord
Inter
Barcelona
Aston Villa
Manchester United
AS Roma
Villarreal
PSG
Atletico Madrid
Bayern Munich
Fenerbahçe
Liverpool
