Koln take on Mainz in a lower-table Bundesliga clash, boosted by the return of Rav van den Berg and Eric Martel after suspensions. Koln and Mainz, though, seem to be evenly matched at the moment and we predict that they are going to play out a 2-2 draw at RheinEnergieStadion. Despite losing 3–1 to Bayern, Koln’s underlying numbers at home are competitive: they average 1.17 points per game, score 1.83 goals per home match, and produce an xG of 1.47. Defensive stability remains a concern, however, with 0% clean sheets and 1.83 goals conceded per home game, leading to an extremely high 83% BTTS rate.
Mainz head into the match with another defensive setback as Nikolas Veratschnig joins their long injury list, while key midfielder Dominik Kohr is suspended. Their form is steadier than Koln’s (DWDDW), but their away output remains weak—0.60 points per game, just 1.00 goal scored, and 2.00 conceded. Their xGA of 2.03 on the road highlights ongoing structural problems.
The H2H record is perfectly balanced (8–10–8), and meetings tend to be cagey, with only 31% going over 2.5 goals. However, Koln’s chaotic home profile suggests a livelier contest than historical trends indicate. Therefore, we predict that there is big value in betting on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Koln vs Mainz prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Koln 2 - 2 Mainz
Koln vs Mainz Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Fynn Schenten @ 187 Odds
- To be booked: Dominik Kohr @ 130 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferKoln Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdl | 0.90 |
| Home | ldlwl | 1.17 |
| Away | ldld | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.47 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.32 | 1.58 |
Mainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwddw | 1.10 |
| Home | dlwdw | 1.60 |
| Away | llddd | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.43 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.65 | 1.27 | 2.03 |
Koln vs Mainz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Koln (31%)
26 Matches
Mainz (31%)
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