Leipzig are eager to claim a major scalp in the Bundesliga round 18, but given their negative H2H record against Bayern Munich, we predict a 2-1 away win. The Reds Bulls' home form remains excellent with 2.50 PPG and an impressive 83% home win rate, driven by strong attacking numbers of 2.83 goals scored per home match. Leipzig also boast an xG of 2.13 at home, showing sustained chance creation. However, their defensive stability will be tested heavily, as Bayern arrive in outstanding form. All Bakayoko, Gebel, and Henrichs are sidelined with injuries, but they were not missed at all in the midweek triumph.
Bayern Munich have been impressive under Vincent Kompany, winning four straight matches and boasting a perfect 2.50 PPG both home and away. Their attack is operating at a frightening level, averaging 4.80 goals per game, including 3.50 away. Even without the injured Joshua Kimmich, Bayern’s depth ensures continuity. Their expected goals sits at 2.17 overall, further confirming their efficiency. Defensively, Bayern keep clean sheets in 50% of away matches, a stark contrast to Leipzig’s recent inconsistency.
H2H history also leans Bayern’s way, with 12 wins from 23 meetings, and most matchups producing goals. As both sides average above 3.0 goals per match, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting pick, alongside BTTS and Away Win as the Bavarians are enjoying a season to remember.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Leipzig vs Bayern Munich prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Leipzig 1 - 2 Bayern Munich
Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Harry Kane @ -150 Odds
- To be booked: Kosta Nedeljkovic @ 220 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLeipzig Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.50 |
| Away | wldl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.67 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.83 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.96 | 2.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.31 |
Bayern Munich Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwww | 2.50 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | wwwww | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.80 | 5.25 | 4.50 |
| Scored | 3.70 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.17 | 2.50 | 1.95 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.04 | 0.68 | 1.28 |
Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Leipzig (13%)
23 Matches
Bayern Munich (52%)
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