Leipzig vs St Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips | 09/05/2026

Leipzig vs St Pauli Prediction and Betting Tips | 9 May 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

5 May 2026 • 08:02 UTC • 1 min read

Leipzig vs St Pauli Prediction and Betting Tips 9 May 2026

Leipzig will be eager to bounce back from a heavy 4-1 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen as they push to secure third place. As St. Pauli suffered yet another dip in form in Bundesliga, out prediction firmly points toward a 2-0 home win. With no fresh injury concerns, Leipzig can field a strong XI, and their home form is particularly convincing—80% win rate and 2.60 goals scored per game.

St. Pauli, on the other hand, are fighting to avoid relegation and come into this clash after a narrow loss to Mainz. Their attacking output is a major concern, averaging just 0.70 goals per match, while failing to score in 40% of their recent games. Abdoulie Ceesay could be handed a start after his impact off the bench, but overall consistency remains an issue.

Taking everything into account, Leipzig to Win looks the safest option given the quality gap and home dominance. Leipzig Over 1.5 Team Goals is also appealing, considering St. Pauli’s defensive record and Leipzig’s attacking numbers, alongside Leipzig to Score First.

This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 14:30.

What is our Leipzig vs St Pauli prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Leipzig 2 - 0 St Pauli

Leipzig vs St Pauli Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-0 @ 650 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -106 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 200 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Conrad Harder @ 100 Odds
First Goalscorer: Conrad Harder @ 450 Odds
To be Booked: Manolis Saliakas @ 220 Odds
Asian Handicap: RB Leipzig -1.5 @ -138 Odds
European Handicap: RB Leipzig -1 @ -138 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -800 Odds
Draw No Bet: RB Leipzig to Win @ -1200 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: RB Leipzig to Win/RB Leipzig to Win @ -138 Odds
Clean Sheet: RB Leipzig - Yes @ 110 Odds

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Leipzig Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwwlwwwwwl	2.20
Home	dwwww	2.60
Away	wlwwl	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	80%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	3.30	3.40	3.20
Scored	2.10	2.60	1.60
Conceded	1.20	0.80	1.60
BTTS	70%	60%	80%
Clean Sheets	20%	40%	0%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	20%
Expected Goals	1.77	2.10	1.44
Expected Goals Against	1.40	1.23	1.57

St Pauli Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwdlldldll	0.90
Home	wdlldl	0.83
Away	wldl	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	17%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	2.30	2.67	1.75
Scored	0.70	0.83	0.50
Conceded	1.60	1.83	1.25
BTTS	50%	67%	25%
Clean Sheets	20%	17%	25%
Failed to Score	40%	33%	50%
Expected Goals	1.13	1.16	1.08
Expected Goals Against	1.67	1.57	1.83