Mewa Arena will host Sunday's game between Mainz and Freiburg. As Mainz are in solid shape, having won four of their last five matches, including a 2-1 victory over Hoffenheim, we predict a 2-1 home win. Die Nullfunfer boast a healthy home record (2.20 PPG) and have been defensively solid, conceding just 0.80 goals per game at home. Their attack is reliable as well, scoring 1.80 goals per home match. To make things even better for manager Urs Fischer, there are no fresh injury worries in the home team.
Freiburg, in contrast, have struggled for consistency, particularly away, winning just one of their last five road games and averaging only 0.60 goals scored on the road. Mainz’s strong defensive form at home combined with Freiburg’s away fragility points toward a Mainz victory, though both teams finding the net remains plausible. The fact that forward Lucas Holler limped off with injury in Freiburg's unlucky 3-2 loss to Bayern Munich supports our betting angle.
Given Mainz's home form and current momentum, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside BTTS, and Over 2.5 goals (both sides involved in high-scoring recent matches).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 18:30.
What is our Mainz vs Freiburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Mainz 2 - 1 Freiburg
Mainz vs Freiburg Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Armindo Sieb @ 162 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Armindo Sieb @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Dominik Kohr @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Mainz 0 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Mainz +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Mainz to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Mainz to Win/Mainz to Win @ 250 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Mainz - No @ -300 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Mainz vs Freiburg?
You can place your bets on Mainz vs Freiburg at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlddddwwww | 1.90 |
| Home | wddww | 2.20 |
| Away | lddww | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.64 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.25 | 1.57 |
Freiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwldllwwl | 1.10 |
| Home | wdlwl | 1.40 |
| Away | dlllw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.71 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.65 | 1.56 | 1.74 |
Mainz vs Freiburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Mainz (38%)
32 Matches
Freiburg (31%)
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