Mainz will be aiming to make a strong start to their Bundesliga campaign when they host newcomers Paderborn in round 1. Die Nullfunfer have been in outstanding form, winning eight of their last 10 matches and scoring 39 goals. Mainz also crushed Krieschow 9-0 in their German Cup opener, while summer signings Fabio Gruber and Stefan Posch are pushing to make their Bundesliga debuts.
Paderborn, meanwhile, arrive after a productive preseason in which they regularly found the net. The newcomers also impressed in the cup, beating Phoenix Lubeck 4-2, but they face a much tougher test here. Top scorer Filip Bilbija left the club during the summer and could be sorely missed, especially against a Mainz side that have kept six clean sheets in their last 10 matches. Mainz have also dominated the H2H, winning three of four previous meetings.
As Mainz are a more experienced Bundesliga side than Paderborn, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Mainz Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (Mainz average 4.7 total goals per game across their last 10 in all competitions).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Mainz vs Paderborn prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Mainz 2 - 1 Paderborn
Mainz vs Paderborn Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Phillip Tietz @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Phillip Tietz @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Sven Michel @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Paderborn +1.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Paderborn +2 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Mainz to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Mainz to Win/Mainz to Win @ 125 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Mainz - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferMainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwwwdwww | 2.50 |
| Home | lwwwww | 2.50 |
| Away | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.70 | 3.33 | 6.75 |
| Scored | 3.90 | 2.50 | 6.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.94 | 1.19 | 3.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.08 |
Paderborn Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwdwlwddw | 1.60 |
| Home | dwl | 1.33 |
| Away | lwdwddw | 1.71 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.00 | 3.43 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.33 | 1.86 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 43% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.91 | 2.98 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.01 | 1.47 |
Mainz vs Paderborn Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Mainz (75%)
4 Matches
Paderborn (0%)
Mainz vs Paderborn Past Results
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