Mainz 05 and Union Berlin go head to head at Mewa Arena in a fixture between two mid-table sides with differing momentum but little pressure in the closing stages of the season. Anyhow, we predict a 2-1 home win as Union Berlin do not seem to be at their sharpest. Die Nullfunfer are in solid form after a 2-1 win over St. Pauli, and their recent record has been impressive with five wins in their last ten matches. Mainz score 1.60 goals per game and concede 1.30, showing a relatively balanced profile compared to many Bundesliga sides.
Union Berlin sit safely in 13th after a 2-2 draw with Köln. Their season has been inconsistent, particularly in attack, averaging just 0.90 goals per game while conceding 2.00. However, Livan Burcu is one to watch after scoring off the bench last match and pushing for a start here. Head-to-head strongly favours goals, with 77% BTTS and 62% of matches going over 2.5 goals. Mainz’s stronger attacking form at home could be decisive.
Taking everything into account, Mainz to Win bet is supported by better form and home consistency. Both Teams to Score is also strong given Union’s defensive issues and H2H trends.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 18:30.
What is our Mainz vs Union Berlin prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Mainz 2 - 1 Union Berlin
Mainz vs Union Berlin Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Armindo Sieb @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Armindo Sieb @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Rani Khedira @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Mainz -0.5 @ -149 Odds
- European Handicap: Union Berlin +2 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Mainz to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Mainz to Win/Mainz to Win @ 160 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Mainz - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferMainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwlldlw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Away | wwldw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.10 | 1.43 |
Union Berlin Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwldllld | 0.80 |
| Home | wldld | 1.00 |
| Away | lwlll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.65 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.65 | 1.21 | 2.09 |
Mainz vs Union Berlin Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Mainz (8%)
13 Matches
Union Berlin (54%)
Mainz vs Union Berlin Past Results
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