Paderborn will be hoping to make the most of home advantage when they welcome Freiburg in the second round of the Bundesliga season. The newcomers opened their campaign with a goalless draw against Mainz, managing just 0.73 xG. Paderborn have won only 33% of their last 10 home games and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches. Michel, Gayret, and Awortwie-Grant are all struggling with injuries, which could further limit their attacking options.
Freiburg, on the other hand, could hardly have asked for a better start, cruising to a 4-0 victory over Werder. They have now won seven games in a row, including pre-season friendlies, and have scored 2.80 goals per game across their last 10 matches. Their away record is particularly impressive, with Freiburg averaging 3.33 goals per game. Yuito Suzuki will be the man to watch after his weekend hat-trick, while there are no fresh injury concerns.
Given Freiburg's outstanding form and attacking potential, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (five of the seven H2H meetings produced three or more goals).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Paderborn vs Freiburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Paderborn 1 - 2 Freiburg
Paderborn vs Freiburg Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Igor Matanovic @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Igor Matanovic @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Yannick Engelhardt @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: SC Freiburg 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Paderborn +2 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: SC Freiburg to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: SC Freiburg to Win/SC Freiburg to Win @ 200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: SC Freiburg - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferPaderborn Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwlwddwd | 1.70 |
| Home | dwl | 1.33 |
| Away | wdwddwd | 1.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.57 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.33 | 1.71 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.67 | 0.86 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.83 | 2.98 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.01 | 1.73 |
Freiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwlwwwww | 2.20 |
| Home | dwwlwww | 2.29 |
| Away | lww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 71% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 3.71 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 2.57 | 3.33 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.14 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 80% | 71% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.75 | 1.68 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 1.28 | 0.88 |
Paderborn vs Freiburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Paderborn (43%)
7 Matches
Freiburg (43%)
Paderborn vs Freiburg Past Results
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