What is our Paderborn vs Freiburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Paderborn 1 - 2 Freiburg
Paderborn vs Freiburg Preview
Paderborn will be hoping to make the most of home advantage when they welcome Freiburg in the second round of the Bundesliga season. The newcomers opened their campaign with a goalless draw against Mainz, managing just 0.73 xG. Paderborn have won only 33% of their last 10 home games and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches. Michel, Gayret, and Awortwie-Grant are all struggling with injuries, which could further limit their attacking options.
Freiburg, on the other hand, could hardly have asked for a better start, cruising to a 4-0 victory over Werder. They have now won seven games in a row, including pre-season friendlies, and have scored 2.80 goals per game across their last 10 matches. Their away record is particularly impressive, with Freiburg averaging 3.33 goals per game. Yuito Suzuki will be the man to watch after his weekend hat-trick, while there are no fresh injury concerns.
Given Freiburg's outstanding form and attacking potential, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (five of the seven H2H meetings produced three or more goals).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 14:30.
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Sat 5 Sep, 14:30UK time
Paderborn vs Freiburg Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScorePaderborn 1-2 Freiburg | 15/2 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | 1/4 | |
| Draw No BetSC Freiburg | 2/5 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeSC Freiburg / SC Freiburg | 2/1 | |
| Asian HandicapSC Freiburg 0 | 17/40 | |
| European HandicapPaderborn +2 | 3/10 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 4/7 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | 1/5 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 8/13 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | 1/5 | |
| Clean SheetSC Freiburg: No | 1/3 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerIgor Matanovic | 21/20 | |
| First GoalscorerIgor Matanovic | 4/1 | |
| To be BookedYannick Engelhardt | 5/4 | |
| Total Corners6 - 8 | 7/4 |
Where Can You Place Bets on Paderborn vs Freiburg?
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferPaderborn Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwlwddwd | 1.70 |
| Home | dwl | 1.33 |
| Away | wdwddwd | 1.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.57 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.33 | 1.71 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.67 | 0.86 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.83 | 2.98 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.01 | 1.73 |
Freiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwlwwwww | 2.20 |
| Home | dwwlwww | 2.29 |
| Away | lww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 71% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 3.71 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 2.57 | 3.33 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.14 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 80% | 71% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.75 | 1.68 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 1.28 | 0.88 |
Paderborn vs Freiburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Paderborn (43%)
7 Matches
Freiburg (43%)





