St Pauli vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips | 22/03/2026

St Pauli vs Freiburg Prediction and Betting Tips | 22 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

18 March 2026 • 11:34 UTC • 1 min read

St Pauli vs Freiburg Prediction and Betting Tips 22 March 2026

St. Pauli take on Freiburg looking to bounce back after a 2-0 loss to Borussia M’gladbach. As Freiburg continue to struggle on the road, we predict a 2-0 home win. St. Pauli are missing key players Mets, Saliakas, Jones R.J, and Sands. Despite these absences, home form is solid, with 1.80 points per game, 40% win rate, and a 60% BTTS at home. Alexander Blessin's troops have averaged 1.00 goal per home game, while conceding 0.60, suggesting disciplined defensive work at Millerntor-Stadion. Expected goals at home is 1.11, reflecting modest chance creation.

Freiburg, recovering from a surprise 1-0 defeat at Union Berlin, have injuries to Rosenfelder and Kyereh. Their away form is poor—0.17 points per game in the last 10, 0% win rate, and scoring just 0.17 goals per away match. Expected goals away is 1.04, with 1.74 expected goals against, highlighting defensive struggles on the road.

Given St. Pauli's fine home form and Freiburg’s dreadful winless run on the road, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, St. Pauli to Win to Nil and Over 1.5 goals bets seem appealing (75% of H2H matches see at least 2 goals).

This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:30.

What is our St Pauli vs Freiburg prediction?

Our prediction for this match: St Pauli 2 - 0 Freiburg

St Pauli vs Freiburg Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-0 @ 1100 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1600 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Taichi Hara @ 210 Odds
First Goalscorer: Taichi Hara @ 550 Odds
To be Booked: Nicolas Hofler @ 260 Odds
Asian Handicap: St Pauli +0.5 @ -223 Odds
European Handicap: SC Freiburg +3 @ -1600 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -250 Odds
Draw No Bet: St Pauli to Win @ -120 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: St Pauli to Win/St Pauli to Win @ 350 Odds
Clean Sheet: St Pauli - Yes @ 175 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on St Pauli vs Freiburg?

You can place your bets on St Pauli vs Freiburg at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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St Pauli Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ddllwlwwdl	1.20
Home	ddwwd	1.80
Away	lllwl	0.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	40%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.10	1.60	2.60
Scored	0.70	1.00	0.40
Conceded	1.40	0.60	2.20
BTTS	40%	60%	20%
Clean Sheets	30%	40%	20%
Failed to Score	50%	40%	60%
Expected Goals	1.15	1.11	1.18
Expected Goals Against	1.39	1.20	1.58

Freiburg Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llwdlwldll	0.80
Home	wwdl	1.75
Away	lldlll	0.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	50%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.10	2.75	1.67
Scored	0.70	1.50	0.17
Conceded	1.40	1.25	1.50
BTTS	30%	50%	17%
Clean Sheets	10%	25%	0%
Failed to Score	60%	25%	83%
Expected Goals	1.26	1.60	1.04
Expected Goals Against	1.63	1.47	1.74