What is our St Pauli vs Freiburg prediction?
St Pauli
2 - 0
Freiburg
Our prediction for this match: St Pauli 2 - 0 Freiburg
St Pauli vs Freiburg Preview
St. Pauli take on Freiburg looking to bounce back after a 2-0 loss to Borussia M’gladbach. As Freiburg continue to struggle on the road, we predict a 2-0 home win. St. Pauli are missing key players Mets, Saliakas, Jones R.J, and Sands. Despite these absences, home form is solid, with 1.80 points per game, 40% win rate, and a 60% BTTS at home. Alexander Blessin's troops have averaged 1.00 goal per home game, while conceding 0.60, suggesting disciplined defensive work at Millerntor-Stadion. Expected goals at home is 1.11, reflecting modest chance creation.
Freiburg, recovering from a surprise 1-0 defeat at Union Berlin, have injuries to Rosenfelder and Kyereh. Their away form is poor—0.17 points per game in the last 10, 0% win rate, and scoring just 0.17 goals per away match. Expected goals away is 1.04, with 1.74 expected goals against, highlighting defensive struggles on the road.
Given St. Pauli's fine home form and Freiburg’s dreadful winless run on the road, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, St. Pauli to Win to Nil and Over 1.5 goals bets seem appealing (75% of H2H matches see at least 2 goals).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday, 22 March 2026 at 16:30.
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Sun 22 Mar, 16:30UK time
St Pauli vs Freiburg Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreSt Pauli 2-0 Freiburg | 11/1 | |
| Double Chance1X | 2/5 | |
| Draw No BetSt Pauli | 5/6 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeSt Pauli / St Pauli | 7/2 | |
| Asian HandicapSt Pauli +0.5 | 9/20 | |
| European HandicapSC Freiburg +3 | 1/16 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreNo | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals | 4/7 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | 1/5 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | 1/16 | |
| Clean SheetSt Pauli: Yes | 7/4 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerTaichi Hara | 21/10 | |
| First GoalscorerTaichi Hara | 11/2 | |
| To be BookedNicolas Hofler | 13/5 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 13/8 |
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View OfferSt Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddllwlwwdl | 1.20 |
| Home | ddwwd | 1.80 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.20 | 1.58 |
Freiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdlwldll | 0.80 |
| Home | wwdl | 1.75 |
| Away | lldlll | 0.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.75 | 1.67 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 1.50 | 0.17 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.60 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.47 | 1.74 |
St Pauli vs Freiburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
St Pauli (38%)
8 Matches
Freiburg (50%)
St Pauli vs Freiburg Past Results
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