St. Pauli take on Mainz 05 in a Bundesliga game where desperation meets relative comfort in mid-table. As St. Pauli suit Mainz, our prediction firmly points toward a 1-0 away win. The hosts are fighting to escape the relegation zone after a 2–0 loss to Heidenheim, and their form has been poor, collecting just 0.90 points per game across their last 10 matches. Their main issue has been in attack, scoring only 0.60 goals per game, while failing to score in 50% of those fixtures.
Mainz, meanwhile, come into this game looking to bounce back from a dramatic 4–3 loss to Bayern Munich, where they squandered a three-goal lead. Despite that setback, their overall form has been strong at 1.70 points per game, with a solid balance of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded. Their away form is also reliable, picking up 1.60 points per game. Head-to-head history clearly favors Mainz, who have won 80% of meetings, and they appear better equipped heading into this encounter.
Considering Mainz's better form and H2H dominance, we believe that punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Away Win, alongside Under 3.5 goals (St. Pauli’s low scoring output), and Mainz to Win to Nil.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:30.
What is our St Pauli vs Mainz prediction?
Our prediction for this match: St Pauli 0 - 1 Mainz
St Pauli vs Mainz Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 700 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 240 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Taichi Hara @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Taichi Hara @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Dominik Kohr @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Mainz +0.5 @ -223 Odds
- European Handicap: Mainz +1 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -225 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Mainz to Win @ -120 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Mainz to Win/Mainz to Win @ 333 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Mainz - Yes @ 225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on St Pauli vs Mainz?
You can place your bets on St Pauli vs Mainz at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferSt Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdlldldl | 0.90 |
| Home | wdlld | 1.00 |
| Away | lwldl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.15 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.66 | 1.51 | 1.80 |
Mainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwwwlldl | 1.70 |
| Home | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Away | dwwld | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.69 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.10 | 1.34 |
St Pauli vs Mainz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
St Pauli (0%)
5 Matches
Mainz (80%)
Celta Vigo
Levante
Betis
Elche
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Sevilla
Espanyol
Athletic Bilbao
