Union Berlin welcome RB Leipzig in a matchup where the visitors enter as clear favourites despite a few injuries. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. The hosts have no fresh worries, but their form remains inconsistent, taking just 1.10 points per game overall. At home, Union score 1.67 goals per match, yet concede the same 1.50 they do on average across all venues. They’ve produced BTTS in 83% of their home games, and their xG of 1.71 shows they’re still creating chances even when results falter.
Leipzig travel to the capital missing Nusa, Werner, and Ouedraogo, but none are crucial absences. Ole Werner's troops head into the match in excellent form, collecting 2.30 points per game, driven by strong attacking output: Leipzig score 2.80 goals per match, including 3.20 at home and 2.40 away. Their defensive record is equally solid with just 0.80 conceded per game. Historically, this fixture delivers goals—71% of H2H meetings have gone over 2.5, with 59% BTTS.
Given the numbers, Leipzig’s efficiency in both phases should prove decisive. Therefore, Away Win, Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals betting options should be considered.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Friday 12 December 2025 at 19:30.
What is our Union Berlin vs Leipzig prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Union Berlin 1 - 2 Leipzig
Union Berlin vs Leipzig Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Conrad Harder @ 175 Odds
- To be booked: Leopold Querfeld @ 140 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferUnion Berlin Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlll | 1.10 |
| Home | wddll | 1.33 |
| Away | llwl | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.17 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.67 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.71 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.35 |
Leipzig Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdww | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | dwwld | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.83 | 1.89 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 |
Union Berlin vs Leipzig Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Union Berlin (35%)
17 Matches
Leipzig (47%)
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