What is our Union Berlin vs St Pauli prediction?
Union Berlin
2 - 1
St Pauli
Our prediction for this match: Union Berlin 2 - 1 St Pauli
Union Berlin vs St Pauli Preview
There will be an intense battle in the Bundesliga as Union Berlin and St. Pauli go head to head on Sunday afternoon. As St. Pauli continue with their old habit of struggling on the travels, we predict a 2-1 home win.Union Berlin will welcome back midfielder Andras Schafer, returning from suspension after missing the 4-0 defeat to Bayern Munich. Despite their struggles, the hosts have shown some attacking promise, averaging 2.8 goals per game, though defensive issues remain with 2 goals conceded per match on average. Home form has been slightly better, with a 25% win rate at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei over the last five matches.
St. Pauli aim to bounce back from a narrow 2-1 loss to Freiburg. The visitors have shown resilience on the road, but their away form remains modest, with only a 20% win rate and conceding 2.2 goals per away match. Midfielder James Sands is still sidelined, potentially weakening their central midfield. Historically, Union Berlin have dominated this fixture, winning 12 of the last 21 meetings, giving them a clear psychological edge.
Considering Union Berlin's stronger H2H record and home advantage, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals (62% H2H) and Union Berlin Over 1.5.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday, 5 April 2026 at 14:30.
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Sun 5 Apr, 14:30UK time
Union Berlin vs St Pauli Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Union Berlin 2-1 St Pauli | 17/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 4/11 | |
| Draw No Bet: Union Berlin | 1/2 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Union Berlin / Union Berlin | 13/5 | |
| Asian Handicap: Union Berlin 0 | 1/2 | |
| European Handicap: Union Berlin +1 | 2/7 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Andrej Ilic | 12/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Andrej Ilic | 6/1 | |
| To be Booked: Rani Khedira | 15/8 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 11/10 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 6/4 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/20 | |
| Union Berlin Clean Sheet: No | 4/7 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Union Berlin vs St Pauli?
You can place your bets on Union Berlin vs St Pauli at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
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18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferUnion Berlin Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlldlwllwl | 0.80 |
| Home | ldwl | 1.00 |
| Away | dlllwl | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.75 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.10 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.65 | 1.38 | 1.83 |
St Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwlwwdll | 1.10 |
| Home | dwwdl | 1.60 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.37 | 1.58 |
Union Berlin vs St Pauli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Union Berlin (57%)
21 Matches
St Pauli (29%)
Union Berlin vs St Pauli Past Results
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