There will be an intense battle in the Bundesliga as Union Berlin and St. Pauli go head to head on Sunday afternoon. As St. Pauli continue with their old habit of struggling on the travels, we predict a 2-1 home win.Union Berlin will welcome back midfielder Andras Schafer, returning from suspension after missing the 4-0 defeat to Bayern Munich. Despite their struggles, the hosts have shown some attacking promise, averaging 2.8 goals per game, though defensive issues remain with 2 goals conceded per match on average. Home form has been slightly better, with a 25% win rate at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei over the last five matches.
St. Pauli aim to bounce back from a narrow 2-1 loss to Freiburg. The visitors have shown resilience on the road, but their away form remains modest, with only a 20% win rate and conceding 2.2 goals per away match. Midfielder James Sands is still sidelined, potentially weakening their central midfield. Historically, Union Berlin have dominated this fixture, winning 12 of the last 21 meetings, giving them a clear psychological edge.
Considering Union Berlin's stronger H2H record and home advantage, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals (62% H2H) and Union Berlin Over 1.5.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Union Berlin vs St Pauli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Union Berlin 2 - 1 St Pauli
Union Berlin vs St Pauli Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Andrej Ilic @ 240 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Andrej Ilic @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Rani Khedira @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Union Berlin 0 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Union Berlin +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Union Berlin to Win @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Union Berlin to Win/Union Berlin to Win @ 260 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Union Berlin - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Union Berlin vs St Pauli?
You can place your bets on Union Berlin vs St Pauli at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferUnion Berlin Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlldlwllwl | 0.80 |
| Home | ldwl | 1.00 |
| Away | dlllwl | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.75 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.10 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.65 | 1.38 | 1.83 |
St Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwlwwdll | 1.10 |
| Home | dwwdl | 1.60 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.37 | 1.58 |
Union Berlin vs St Pauli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Union Berlin (57%)
21 Matches
St Pauli (29%)
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