Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV lock horns in a fierce northern derby, with both sides looking to respond to heavy recent defeats and rebuild momentum. As HSV continue to struggle on the travels, we predict a 2-1 home win. Die Werderaner head into this clash after a 3-1 loss to Koln, with their form averaging 1.00 point per game. The hosts have been inconsistent throughout the season, scoring 1.10 goals per match while conceding 1.50, and maintaining just a 20% clean sheet rate. At home, Werder are slightly more vulnerable defensively (1.60 conceded per game), and will also be without key defender Marco Friedl due to suspension, which weakens their back line further.
Hamburger SV, on the other hand, head into the match after a disappointing 4-0 defeat to Stuttgart, aiming to bounce back quickly. Their recent form (WWDLLWDLDL) has been mixed at 1.20 points per game, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match. However, their games tend to be open, with a 70% BTTS rate and 2.90 total goals per match. Away from home, die Rothosen remain inconsistent but dangerous, averaging 1.40 goals scored per game. The return of Miro Muheim from suspension strengthens their defensive options slightly, but issues remain at the back.
Considering Werder Bremen's home edge despite key defensive absence, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Over 3.5 yellow cards, and Over 2.5 goals (derby nature and open defensive records).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Werder Bremen vs Hamburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Werder Bremen 2 - 1 Hamburg
Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Victor Boniface @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Victor Boniface @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Yukinari Sugawara @ 130 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Werder Bremen 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Hamburg +2 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Werder Bremen to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Werder Bremen to Win/Werder Bremen to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Werder Bremen - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Werder Bremen vs Hamburg?
You can place your bets on Werder Bremen vs Hamburg at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferWerder Bremen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllwwlwll | 1.00 |
| Home | dlwll | 0.80 |
| Away | llwwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.69 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 1.03 | 1.35 |
Hamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdllwdldl | 1.20 |
| Home | wlldd | 1.00 |
| Away | wdwll | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.79 | 1.49 | 2.08 |
Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Werder Bremen (48%)
27 Matches
Hamburg (37%)
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