Werder Bremen may still be dealing with a long injury list, but their morale is high after a convincing 4-1 win over Union Berlin, showing they remain dangerous despite limited depth. Therefore, we predict that they will defeat Mainz 2-1 on Matchday 26. Werder Bremen average 3.00 goals per game at Weserstadion, yet their defensive numbers remain shaky, conceding 1.80 per home match. Their xG of 1.82 at home indicates they do create enough to trouble most sides, but with a 50% failed-to-score rate overall, consistency remains an issue.
FSV Mainz 05, on the other hand, are unbeaten in four and playing with good energy after a 2-2 draw with Stuttgart. Die Nullfunfer have been strong at home this season, but away from home they drop to 1.00 point per game, conceding 2.00 goals on the road. Still, their matches deliver goals (3.20 average away), and BTTS has landed in 80% of their league games. Even though there are no fresh injury concerns in the away team, they remain big underdogs in this encounter.
Given Werder's home advantage and momentum after the Union Berlin triumph, we predict Home Win. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and Over 9.5 corners bets seem tempting (Bremen games average 2.80; Mainz 3.10 overall).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Werder Bremen vs Mainz prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Werder Bremen 2 - 1 Mainz
Werder Bremen vs Mainz Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jovan Milosevic @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jovan Milosevic @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Dominik Kohr @ 137 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Werder Bremen 0 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Werder Bremen +1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Werder Bremen to Win @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Werder Bremen to Win/Werder Bremen to Win @ 225 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Werder Bremen - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferWerder Bremen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlldlllww | 0.80 |
| Home | dldlw | 1.00 |
| Away | llllw | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.82 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.13 | 1.19 |
Mainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwwwlddd | 1.60 |
| Home | wwwdd | 2.20 |
| Away | dlwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.80 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.60 | 1.34 | 1.86 |
Werder Bremen vs Mainz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Werder Bremen (48%)
33 Matches
Mainz (30%)
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