Birmingham City vs QPR Prediction & Betting Tips | 11/03/2026

Birmingham City vs QPR Prediction and Betting Tips | 11 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

10 March 2026 • 09:02 UTC • 1 min read

Birmingham City vs QPR Prediction and Betting Tips 11 March 2026

Birmingham City aim to return to winning ways following three consecutive defeats and given QPR's poor display in a 4-0 loss to Middlesbrough, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Blues continue their push for the playoff spots as they welcome QPR, but the hosts face a setback with August Priske limping off in the recent 1-0 loss to Charlton. Jay Stansfield is expected to take his place, and Birmingham’s home numbers suggest they can stay competitive—80% BTTS at home and only 1.2 goals conceded on average show they often stay in games. Their overall win rate of 40% is notably stronger than QPR’s recent record.

QPR head into the midweek clash after a heavy 4-0 defeat to Middlesbrough, and with just 0.9 points per game overall, their form continues to fluctuate. They’ve failed to score in 60% of their matches this period, and their away scoring average stands at a low 0.6 goals per game. Still, the Hoops concede just 1.2 goals away, suggesting they might try to keep things tight.

Given Birmingham's better form and home edge, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Birmingham City to Win to Nil as QPR are struggling to score (away xG just 1.20).

This Championship match will be played on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 19:45.

What is our Birmingham City vs QPR prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Birmingham City 1 - 0 QPR

Birmingham City vs QPR Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-0 @ 550 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 240 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: August Priske @ 130 Odds
First Goalscorer: August Priske @ 400 Odds
To be Booked: Jake Leahy @ 187 Odds
Asian Handicap: QPR +1.5 @ -236 Odds
European Handicap: QPR +2 @ -250 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
Draw No Bet: Birmingham to Win @ -400 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Birmingham to Win/Birmingham to Win @ 160 Odds
Clean Sheet: Birmingham - Yes @ 120 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Birmingham City vs QPR?

You can place your bets on Birmingham City vs QPR at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Birmingham City Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdwwddwlll	1.50
Home	dwddl	1.20
Away	wwwll	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	20%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	2.20	2.20	2.20
Scored	1.10	1.00	1.20
Conceded	1.10	1.20	1.00
BTTS	50%	80%	20%
Clean Sheets	30%	20%	40%
Failed to Score	30%	20%	40%
Expected Goals	1.55	1.89	1.21
Expected Goals Against	1.24	1.13	1.36

QPR Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ddlwdlwlll	0.90
Home	lwlll	0.60
Away	dddwl	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	3.60	1.80
Scored	0.80	1.00	0.60
Conceded	1.90	2.60	1.20
BTTS	40%	60%	20%
Clean Sheets	30%	0%	60%
Failed to Score	60%	40%	80%
Expected Goals	1.36	1.52	1.20
Expected Goals Against	1.42	1.35	1.48