Birmingham City host Stoke City in a clash where both sides look capable of scoring but have defensive concerns. As Birmingham are a real force to be reckoned with at home, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. The Blues will be without Buchanan, Gray, Laird, and Osayi-Samuel, though the Blues’ 2-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday shows they can cope without key absences. At home, Birmingham average 1.5 goals per game but have kept only 0% clean sheets, highlighting defensive vulnerability.
Stoke have been having their ups and downs of late, with the team winning three of their last five and scoring 1.25 goals per away game while conceding only 0.5 per match on the road. Key defender Bosun Lawal is suspended, which could weaken Stoke’s defense further. Historically, the H2H slightly favors Birmingham: 8 wins in 18 clashes, with over 1.5 goals in 61% of matches.
Expect a competitive encounter with both teams pushing forward, particularly given Stoke’s defensive disruption and Birmingham’s attacking form. However, Home Win should be considered as the Blues have turned St. Andrew's Stadium into a real fortress. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and BTTS markets seem appealing.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Birmingham City vs Stoke City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Birmingham City 2 - 1 Stoke City
Birmingham City vs Stoke City Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: August Priske @ 150 Odds
- To be booked: Ben Pearson @ 130 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferBirmingham City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdw | 1.30 |
| Home | dddw | 1.50 |
| Away | llwdw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.75 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.25 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 2.01 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.21 | 1.60 |
Stoke City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdl | 1.40 |
| Home | dlwdl | 1.33 |
| Away | llww | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.24 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.29 | 1.25 |
Birmingham City vs Stoke City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Birmingham City (44%)
18 Matches
Stoke City (22%)
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