Brentford will look to extend their strong home form when they welcome Leeds United on Matchday 16 and we predict that they will do so with a 2-1 win. Despite injuries to Fabio Carvalho and Antoni Milambo, the hosts have enough depth to maintain their attacking rhythm, especially with their average of 2.25 goals scored per home match and an xG of 1.51 on their own turf. Their recent home BTTS rate of 75% also highlights their tendency toward open, high-tempo matches.
Leeds, meanwhile, travel to London in worrying form. They have lost all four of their away league games this season and concede 2.75 goals per away match, a figure made worse by several ongoing absences, including Nmecha and Longstaff. Daniel Farke’s side do create chances—posting 1.31 expected goals per away game—but defensive discipline remains a major issue, and clean sheets have been nonexistent.
With Brentford’s attacking potential at home and Leeds’ shaky back line, Home Win should definitely be considered. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and Brentford Over 1.5 goals bets seem tempting.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 14 December 2025 at 16:30.
What is our Brentford vs Leeds United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Brentford 2 - 1 Leeds United
Brentford vs Leeds United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Igor Thiago @ 125 Odds
- To be booked: Jayden Bogle @ 200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferBrentford Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwll | 1.50 |
| Home | lwww | 2.25 |
| Away | wllll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.51 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.17 | 1.38 |
Leeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwd | 0.80 |
| Home | lwlwd | 1.33 |
| Away | llll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.83 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.83 | 2.75 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.60 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.42 | 1.56 |
Brentford vs Leeds United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Brentford (33%)
18 Matches
Leeds United (22%)
