Burnley will be desperate to finally record their first win of the season when they welcome Derby County, looking to recover from a 3-1 defeat to Swansea. The Clarets are now on a seven-game winless run in all competitions and have failed to win any of their last 10 matches. Nicky Hayen is under big pressure as Burnley continue to struggle for form, with the hosts averaging just 1.00 goal per game at home. Summer signing Jamie Vardy is pushing for a start, as is Lucas Pires.
Derby, on the other hand, are also in poor form, heading into this clash on a three-game losing run after a 2-1 defeat to Birmingham at the weekend. The Rams have struggled badly at the back, conceding 1.90 goals per game across their last 10 matches and keeping just one clean sheet. Their injury list is also lengthy, with Agyemang, Brewster, Clarke, Forsyth, Murkin, and Travis all sidelined.
Given Jamie Vardy's effect and Derby's three-game losing run in the Championship, we believe that punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Burnley Over 1.5 and 1.5 goals total (73% of the previous 15 H2H clashes produced at least two goals, while Burnley matches average 2.70 goals).
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Burnley vs Derby prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burnley 2 - 1 Derby
Burnley vs Derby Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Armando Broja @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Armando Broja @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Eiran Cashin @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Burnley -0.5 @ -118 Odds
- European Handicap: Derby +2 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Burnley to Win @ -300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Burnley to Win/Burnley to Win @ 187 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Burnley - No @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Burnley vs Derby?
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View OfferBurnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddldldldl | 0.50 |
| Home | ldddl | 0.60 |
| Away | ldldl | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.39 | 1.70 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.20 | 1.69 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllldlwlll | 0.40 |
| Home | llldlll | 0.14 |
| Away | lwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.86 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 71% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.60 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.76 | 1.69 | 1.89 |
Burnley vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burnley (67%)
15 Matches
Derby (0%)
Burnley vs Derby Past Results
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