Derby County face Birmingham City at Pride Park in what promises to be a close Championship encounter, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. The Rams have been solid at home, collecting 2 points per game in their last five home fixtures, but they are hit hard by injuries to Batth, Johnston, Langas, Salvesen, Thompson, and Widell Zetterstrom. Despite this, they edged Portsmouth 1-0 at the weekend. Derby score 1.7 goals per match overall but concede 1.2, suggesting a balanced attack but a slightly leaky defense.
The Blues, on the other hand, have been in a mixed form, with the team averaging 1.5 points per game over their last 10 outings, with a solid defensive record of just 1.1 goals conceded per game. Defender Jonathan Panzo may start, which could bolster their backline. Birmingham’s expected goals (xG) of 1.59 shows they create decent chances, but their scoring has been inconsistent at 1 goal per match.
With 93% of past meetings seeing more than 1.5 goals, these betting option should definitely be considered. Additionally, BTTS and Draw bets boast big value
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Derby vs Birmingham City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 1 - 1 Birmingham City
Derby vs Birmingham City Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang @ 162 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Sondre Langas @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Derby +0.5 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Derby +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Birmingham - No @ -300 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Derby vs Birmingham City?
You can place your bets on Derby vs Birmingham City at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwllwwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Away | wlllw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.21 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.27 | 1.68 |
Birmingham City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwddwlllwd | 1.50 |
| Home | wddlwd | 1.50 |
| Away | wwll | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 2.04 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.07 | 1.52 |
Derby vs Birmingham City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (37%)
27 Matches
Birmingham City (22%)
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