What is our Derby vs Stoke City prediction?
Derby
2 - 2
Stoke City
Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 2 Stoke City
Derby vs Stoke City Preview
Derby County will be desperate to get back on course when they face Stoke City at Pride Park, having gone six Championship games without a win. The Rams were thoroughly beaten 4-1 by QPR in midweek, exposing familiar defensive weaknesses, while Sondre Langas’s injury is another setback. Ryan Nyambe is likely to step in as Derby look to stabilise their back line. The hosts have struggled badly on home soil, winning none of their recent five home matches, and will need a major improvement to halt their slump.
Stoke City also head into Saturday's game after a disappointing result, losing 3-2 to Middlesbrough despite previously recording three consecutive league victories. Mark Robins will want his side to rediscover that winning momentum, with Slovakia international Robert Bozenik pushing for a starting spot after scoring off the bench. Maksym Talovierov’s return from suspension is another boost for the visitors, who have shown considerably more consistency than their opponents.
Stoke’s away matches have seen both teams score in 100% of their recent sample and given Derby's hunger for points, we are tempted to bet on BTTS, alongside Over 8.5 corners and Over 2.5 goals (57% H2H).
This Championship match will be played on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00.
- League
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Sat 17 Oct 2026, 15:00UK time
Derby vs Stoke City Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Derby 2-2 Stoke City | 12/1 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 4/7 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 4/1 | |
| Asian Handicap: Derby +0.5 | 23/40 | |
| European Handicap: Derby +1 | 4/7 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Lamine Cisse | 2/1 | |
| First Goalscorer: Lamine Cisse | 6/1 | |
| To be Booked: Ben Pearson | 5/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 5/2 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/9 | |
| Stoke Clean Sheet: No | 4/11 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlwlllddl | 0.60 |
| Home | dllld | 0.40 |
| Away | lwldl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.57 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.60 | 1.66 | 1.55 |
Stoke City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlwwdwwwl | 1.70 |
| Home | dwwwl | 2.00 |
| Away | lldww | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.83 | 1.62 | 2.03 |
Derby vs Stoke City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (36%)
14 Matches
Stoke City (36%)
Derby vs Stoke City Past Results
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