Middlesbrough are clash full of confidence after a dominant 4-0 win over QPR, a result that strengthened their push for an automatic promotion place. With Charlton struggling on the road, our prediction leans toward a 2-0 home win. Kim Hellberg's men are in excellent form with 2.30 points per game overall and an impressive 83% away win rate, although at home they remain solid rather than spectacular. Dael Fry is doubtful after a knock, but Boro’s defensive numbers at home—0.25 goals conceded on average and 75% clean sheets—highlight their stability.
Charlton, meanwhile, travel north with renewed belief after a narrow 1-0 win over Birmingham, sealed by super-sub Charlie Kelman, who is pushing for a rare start. Still, the Addicks’ overall output remains modest: just 0.80 goals scored per game, and their away xG sits at a worrying 0.72. Defensively, they concede 1.50 goals per away match, which could be a problem against Boro’s strong attack.
Historically, Middlesbrough dominate this matchup with 8 wins from 11 meetings, making them clear favourites based on both form and data. Given Boro's fine form and superior xG (1.84), Home Win should be considered, alongside Under 3.5 goals and Middlesbrough to Win to Nil as Charlton rarely score heavily away.
This Championship match will be played on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 19:45.
What is our MIddlesbrough vs Charlton prediction?
Our prediction for this match: MIddlesbrough 2 - 0 Charlton
MIddlesbrough vs Charlton Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 130 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Morgan Whittaker @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Morgan Whittaker @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Collins Sichenje @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Middlesbrough -1 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Middlesbrough -1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -600 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Middlesbrough to Win @ -900 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Middlesbrough to Win/Middlesbrough to Win @ -111 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Middlesbrough - Yes @ -111 Odds
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View OfferMIddlesbrough Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwlddww | 2.30 |
| Home | wwdd | 2.00 |
| Away | wwwlww | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 1.75 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.84 | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 1.01 | 1.35 |
Charlton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdwlddlw | 1.20 |
| Home | ldwllw | 1.17 |
| Away | lwdd | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.45 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.23 | 2.18 |
MIddlesbrough vs Charlton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
MIddlesbrough (73%)
11 Matches
Charlton (9%)
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