Millwall aim to continue their impressive wining run when they host Derby County at The Den. As Millwall have turned their stadium into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Lions have won four of their last five (2.20 PPG) and come into this clash after a convincing 3-1 victory at Hull, where substitutes made an impact—particularly Mihailo Ivanovic, who is pushing for a starting role. Millwall’s improvement in both phases is clear: the capital club score 2.10 goals per game while conceding just 0.80, and their home numbers remain solid with 1.75 PPG and 50% clean sheets.
Derby County travel to London in good form after a 2-1 win over Sheffield Wednesday, despite missing several key players including Batth, Langas, Salvesen, and Thompson. The Rams' attack has been productive, scoring 1.90 goals per match, and their away numbers are competitive (1.80 PPG). However, defensive inconsistency on the road (1.40 conceded) remains a concern against a Millwall side creating 1.63 xG at home.
Given Millwall's strong home form and defensive stability, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and Millwall Over 1.5 goals.
This Championship match will be played on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Millwall vs Derby prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Millwall 2 - 1 Derby
Millwall vs Derby Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Macaulay Langstaff @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Macaulay Langstaff @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Sondre Langas @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Millwall 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Derby +2 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Millwall to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Millwall to Win/Millwall to Win @ 220 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Millwall - No @ -200 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Millwall vs Derby?
You can place your bets on Millwall vs Derby at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferMillwall Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwww | 2.20 |
| Home | wdlw | 1.75 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.63 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.10 | 1.47 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllww | 1.90 |
| Home | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.21 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.27 | 1.29 |
Millwall vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Millwall (39%)
23 Matches
Derby (26%)
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