Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips | 16/03/2026

Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction and Betting Tips | 16 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

12 March 2026 • 12:00 UTC • 1 min read

Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction and Betting Tips 16 March 2026

Portsmouth and Derby County go head to head at Fratton Park in what promises to be a close Championship encounter, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. Portsmouth’s squad struggles with injuries, which showed in their 2-1 loss to Swansea, and they will be without key contributors. The home side have managed just a 20% win rate at Fratton Park, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per home game while conceding the same. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their home matches, and clean sheets are rare at 20%.

Derby County travel with slightly better form, winning two of their last three away games despite a 1-0 loss at Millwall. The Rams score 1.8 goals per match on average, conceding 1.6 in away fixtures. H2H history favors high-scoring encounters, with 93% of clashes seeing over 1.5 goals and 79% featuring both teams on the scoresheet. First-choice goalkeeper Josh Vickers out of contention for Derby after picking up a knock in a 1-0 loss to Millwall, which definitely supports our betting angle.

As recent form and H2H suggest goals, Over 1.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Both Teams to Score and Over 9.5 corners.

This Championship match will be played on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Portsmouth vs Derby prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Portsmouth 1 - 1 Derby

Portsmouth vs Derby Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Colby Bishop @ 187 Odds
First Goalscorer: Colby Bishop @ 550 Odds
To be Booked: Sondre Langas @ 160 Odds
Asian Handicap: Derby +0.5 @ -149 Odds
European Handicap: Derby +1 @ -150 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -150 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
Clean Sheet: Portsmouth - No @ -225 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Portsmouth vs Derby?

You can place your bets on Portsmouth vs Derby at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Portsmouth Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwllwwlldl	1.10
Home	dwlll	0.80
Away	lwwld	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	20%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	2.00	2.80
Scored	1.30	1.00	1.60
Conceded	1.10	1.00	1.20
BTTS	60%	40%	80%
Clean Sheets	10%	20%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	40%	20%
Expected Goals	1.66	1.87	1.45
Expected Goals Against	0.94	0.74	1.13

Derby Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdwlwllwwl	1.60
Home	dlwww	2.00
Away	wwlll	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	60%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	3.10	2.80	3.40
Scored	1.80	1.80	1.80
Conceded	1.30	1.00	1.60
BTTS	60%	80%	40%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	40%
Expected Goals	1.33	1.21	1.45
Expected Goals Against	1.32	1.27	1.37