What is our QPR vs Derby prediction?
QPR
1 - 1
Derby
Our prediction for this match: QPR 1 - 1 Derby
QPR vs Derby Preview
QPR will be hoping to turn their recent draws into victories when they welcome Derby County in the Championship. The Hoops are on a five-game winless run, but they showed resilience in a 1-1 draw with West Ham, with Jarrod Bowen’s missed late penalty sparing them a possible defeat. QPR have also shared the points in each of their last four league matches, highlighting their difficulty in finding a winning edge. Their key playmaker is doubtful, while Karamoko Dembele remains sidelined through injury, potentially limiting their creativity in the final third.
Derby are out of form as well, having gone five games without a win after drawing 1-1 with Wrexham. The Rams struggled to create clear chances in that match, managing just 0.60 expected goals, and their attacking output remains a concern. Defensive injuries are adding to their difficulties, with Eiran Cashin, Matt Clarke and Charlie Taylor all unavailable. Derby have conceded an average of 1.7 goals per game across their recent fixtures, making it difficult to build results on a shaky defensive foundation.
With both teams short of confidence and struggling to win, another tight encounter looks likely. Therefore, we believe that there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw, and Draw.
This Championship match will be played on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 19:45.
- Competition
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Wed 14 Oct, 19:45UK time
QPR vs Derby Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreQPR 1-1 Derby | 600 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | -106 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeDraw / Draw | 500 | |
| Asian HandicapDerby +1 | -191 | |
| European HandicapDerby +1 | -111 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -138 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -350 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals | -111 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -275 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -800 | |
| Clean SheetQPR: No | -188 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerRayan Kolli | 137 | |
| First GoalscorerRayan Kolli | 450 | |
| To be BookedSondre Langas | 210 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferQPR Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwwldddd | 1.50 |
| Home | ddwld | 1.20 |
| Away | wwddd | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.09 | 1.46 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldlwllldd | 0.60 |
| Home | ldllld | 0.33 |
| Away | lwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.67 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.50 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.62 | 1.60 |
QPR vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
QPR (37%)
27 Matches
Derby (41%)
QPR vs Derby Past Results
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