Stoke City aim to recover from a heart-breaking FA Cup loss to Fulham, but given their negative H2H record against Leicester City, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. The Potters head into Saturday's game with a lengthy injury list—Bazunu, Bozenik, Gallagher, Johansson, Mubama, and Tchamadeu all sidelined—which limits rotation and reduces attacking depth. Their form has dipped badly, with no wins in five and only 0.80 PPG at home. Scoring just 0.60 goals per home match while failing to score in 40% of those games paints a clear picture of a team struggling to convert chances despite a respectable defensive output (40% home clean sheets, 1.20 xGA).
Leicester City also suffered a dip in form, losing five straight in the league, but their underlying numbers are more promising. With 1.30 goals scored per game, 80% BTTS overall, and an xG of 1.30, they remain more efficient in the final third than Stoke. Even away from home, the Foxes score more frequently (1.17 per match) and fail to score in 0% of away games, a key advantage here. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team, which supports our betting angle.
The H2H heavily favours Leicester—7 wins from 13 and 62% over 2.5 goals—supporting their status as the more likely winner despite poor recent form. Therefore, Away Win is our main betting tip, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Stoke City vs Leicester prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Stoke City 1 - 2 Leicester
Stoke City vs Leicester Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Milan Smit @ 210 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Milan Smit @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Victor Kristiansen @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Leicester +0.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Leicester +1 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -175 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Leicester to Win @ 120 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Leicester to Win/Leicester to Win @ 400 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Stoke - No @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Stoke City vs Leicester?
You can place your bets on Stoke City vs Leicester at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferStoke City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldll | 1.20 |
| Home | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Away | wwddl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.21 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.30 |
Leicester Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllll | 0.70 |
| Home | wlll | 0.75 |
| Away | wldll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.75 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.25 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.39 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.48 | 1.66 |
Stoke City vs Leicester Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Stoke City (15%)
13 Matches
Leicester (54%)
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