Stoke City aim to maintain their fine home form after a frustrating 0-0 draw with QPR, but their task becomes harder following Divin Mubama’s serious injury. Therefore, we predict that they will play out a 1-1 draw with Middlesbrough, who have some injury worries of their own. The Potters have been reliable at home, averaging 1.60 points per game with a strong defensive record—conceding just 0.60 goals per match at the bet365 Stadium and keeping 60% clean sheets. Though scoring remains an issue (failed to score in 40% of home games), their overall defensive structure is solid, supported by an xGA of 1.16.
Middlesbrough, meanwhile, are high on spirits after a crucial 3-2 away win over West Brom, but Kim Hellberg still has a long injury list with Bangura, Edmundson, Lenihan, and McGree all unavailable. Boro’s away form is mixed but competitive, taking 1.50 points per game while averaging 1.67 goals scored. Their away matches tend to be more open, producing 3.33 goals per game, though a lack of clean sheets (0%) highlights defensive vulnerabilities on the road.
Historically, Boro hold a slight edge (8 wins to Stoke’s 6), and with both sides showing contrasting strengths, this shapes into a tight but intriguing battle. Therefore, Under 2.5 goals market seems tempting, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Championship match will be played on Wednesday 21 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Stoke City 1 - 1 Middlesbrough
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Tommy Conway @ 200 Odds
- To be booked: Ben Pearson @ 137 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferStoke City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwd | 1.40 |
| Home | wdlwd | 1.60 |
| Away | lllww | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.14 | 1.24 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.16 | 1.42 |
Middlesbrough Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | wdlw | 1.75 |
| Away | wlllw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.25 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.97 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.24 | 1.28 |
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Stoke City (30%)
20 Matches
Middlesbrough (40%)
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