Swansea City return to home soil aiming to respond after a 2–0 defeat to Derby and given Bristol City's struggles on the road, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-1 home win. The Swans' home numbers remain strong: 2.20 PPG, 60% home win rate, and 2.20 goals scored per home match. Even without the banned Marko Stamenic, Swansea’s attacking metrics are impressive—1.80 xG at home and a failure-to-score rate of 0% in front of their own fans. Defensively, they’re solid too, conceding just 0.80 per home match.
Bristol City travel to South Wales with only Luke McNally missing and unbeaten in their last two, but their away form is patchy: just 1.00 PPG, 25% win rate, and 1.00 goal scored per away match. The high overall BTTS rate (40%) and elevated goals-per-game averages (3.40 overall) show they can be dangerous, but they fail to score in 50% of away games—an issue against a well-organised Swansea side.
Given the numbers and Swansea’s home output, a Home win, BTTS, and over 1.5 goals align with our betting angle.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Swansea vs Bristol City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Swansea 2 - 1 Bristol City
Swansea vs Bristol City Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Adam Idah @ 162 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Adam Idah @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Ross McCrorie @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Swansea 0 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Swansea +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Swansea to Win @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Swansea to Win/Swansea to Win @ 240 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Swansea - No @ -250 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Swansea vs Bristol City?
You can place your bets on Swansea vs Bristol City at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferSwansea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwl | 1.70 |
| Home | wddww | 2.20 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.65 | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.00 | 1.54 |
Bristol City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwd | 1.40 |
| Home | lwwld | 1.67 |
| Away | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 1.00 | 1.21 |
Swansea vs Bristol City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Swansea (30%)
23 Matches
Bristol City (39%)
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