Following a 2-2 draw with Preston, Watford aim to return to winning ways, but given Derby's recent signs of improvement, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. Watford have been inconsistent lately, with just 1 win in their last 5 games and a 20% overall win rate. The Hornets average 0.9 goals scored per match and concede 1.4, reflecting struggles in attack and defense. Injuries to key players Ekwah, Kyprianou, and Vata weaken their squad further.
Derby County FC are in stronger form, especially away, with 3 wins in their last 4 away games and an average of 2.25 goals scored per away match while conceding just 0.75. Their current form and solid defense give them an edge. Johnston, Langas, and Widell Zetterstrom are all out of contention for the Rams, but the trio was not missed at all in the last league match.
Historically, H2H is balanced (9 wins each in 19 matches), but Derby’s current momentum, Watford’s injuries, and attacking stats suggest Away Win for Derby County, with Both teams likely to find the net (63% H2H).
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Watford vs Derby prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Watford 1 - 2 Derby
Watford vs Derby Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Amin Nabizada @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Amin Nabizada @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Sondre Langas @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Derby +0.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Derby +1 @ -125 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -125 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Derby to Win @ 175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Derby to Win/Derby to Win @ 550 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Watford - No @ -200 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Watford vs Derby?
You can place your bets on Watford vs Derby at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferWatford Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldld | 1.00 |
| Home | wldl | 1.00 |
| Away | lddld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.25 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.48 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 1.28 | 1.13 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | lldlw | 1.17 |
| Away | lwww | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.17 | 2.25 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.05 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.65 | 1.07 |
Watford vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Watford (47%)
19 Matches
Derby (47%)
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