Watford look to bounce back from their 2-0 defeat to Millwall and given Portsmouth's difficulties on the road, we predict that they will do so with a 1-0 win. The Hornets remain a strong home side, collecting 2.00 points per game at Vicarage Road with a 60% home win rate. Javi Gracia's team typically play open football, averaging 2.60 goals per home match, while scoring 1.60 and conceding 1.00 in front of their own fans. BTTS has landed in 40% of home fixtures, while Watford’s xG numbers remain solid (1.62 xG, 1.07 xGA). The return of Edo Kayembe boosts their midfield balance, though Rocco Vata remains absent.
Portsmouth arrive with a long injury list but still managed to grind out a 1-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday at the weekend. Their away numbers, however, are unconvincing: just 0.80 points per game on the road, scoring only 0.40 goals per away match and failing to net in 60% of those games. Defensive discipline away from Fratton Park remains an issue, with 2.00 goals conceded per away game.
The H2H is perfectly balanced (3 wins each), but Watford’s stronger home output and Pompey’s scoring problems suggest the hosts hold the advantage. Given Watford's better home form and Portsmouth poor away record, Home Win should be considered. Additionally, Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 markets seem appealing as Portsmouth score only 0.40 goals per game on the road.
This Championship match will be played on Wednesday 21 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Watford vs Portsmouth prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Watford 1 - 0 Portsmouth
Watford vs Portsmouth Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Luca Kjerrumgaard @ 130 Odds
- To be booked: Marlon Pack @ 130 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferWatford Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwll | 1.70 |
| Home | wdwwl | 2.00 |
| Away | ldwwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.62 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 1.07 | 1.41 |
Portsmouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwllw | 1.10 |
| Home | lwdwl | 1.40 |
| Away | lldlw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.49 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.49 |
Watford vs Portsmouth Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Watford (43%)
7 Matches
Portsmouth (43%)
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