Ajax will try to sneak into the Champions League playoffs with a win over Olympiacos in the last game of the league phase. As the Amsterdammers have been showing signs of improvement, we predict a 2-1 home win. Ajax made a slow start to their Champions League campaign, but they managed to keep their playoffs hopes alive thanks to back-to-back wins over Qarabaga and Villarreal. Fred Grim’s men face yet another must-win game against Olympiacos and their expected goals of 2.38 at home is surely fueling fans with optimism. Winger Steven Berghuis should be the only absentee in the home team, which definitely supports our betting angle.
The Thrylos, on the other hand, are sitting in 24th place in the Champions League standings. The Greeks are eager to make it to the knockout stages of the elite competition as well, but given their ups and downs on the road, away win should not be considered. Their expected goals away of 2.04, though, suggest a high-scoring affair at Johan Cruijff Arena. Both Paschalakis and Kalogeropoulos are rated doubtful for the visiting team.
Back in 1998, Ajax defeated Olympiacos 2-0 in what was their last meeting in the Champions League. As the Amsterdammers have found their form of late, Home Win should be considered once again, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 28 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Ajax vs Olympiacos prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ajax 2 - 1 Olympiacos
Ajax vs Olympiacos Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ayoub El Kaabi @ 105 Odds
- To be booked: Carrillo Dani Garcia @ 140 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Ajax +0.5 @ -149 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAjax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldww | 2.30 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | wdwlw | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.50 | 3.00 | 5.50 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 75% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 2.01 | 2.38 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.29 | 1.74 |
Olympiacos Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlww | 2.30 |
| Home | wdlww | 2.17 |
| Away | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.67 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 2.23 | 2.36 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.74 |
Ajax vs Olympiacos Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ajax (100%)
1 Matches
Olympiacos (0%)
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