Atalanta host Athletic Bilbao in a clash of contrasting form, with the Serie A side sitting 5th in the league and enjoying an impressive run of four wins in their last five matches. Therefore, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-0 home win. Despite injuries to Bakker and Djimsiti, the Orobici's defensive stability remains solid, conceding just 0.70 goals per game overall and keeping clean sheets in 50% of matches. Atalanta’s attacking potential is equally strong, averaging 1.60 goals per game with an expected goals of 1.57, and they have failed to score in only 10% of fixtures. Home form is particularly convincing, with 83% win rate at Gewiss Stadium.
The Lions, on the other hand, are struggling in 28th place in the Champions League standings, winning just one of their last five matches, and scoring only 1.00 goal per game. Injuries to Egiluz, Prados Diaz, Sannadi, Serrano, and Vesga have thinned their squad, leaving them vulnerable, particularly away where they concede 2.33 goals per game. As always, a man to keep an eye on in the away team will be pacey winger Nico Williams.
Historically, Atalanta have dominated at home, and their balanced attack and defense suggest they should control the game. Therefore, we predict Home Win, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as Bilbao struggle up front on the road.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 21 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atalanta 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Nikola Krstovic @ 120 Odds
- To be Booked: Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAtalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwd | 2.20 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.50 |
| Away | lwwd | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.62 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 1.09 | 1.35 |
Athletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlwl | 1.10 |
| Home | lwdl | 1.00 |
| Away | wdlwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 1.75 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.25 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.77 | 1.45 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.41 | 1.28 |
Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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