Atalanta will try to claim a major scalp when they face Bayern Munich at their New Balance Arena in the first leg of the Champions League last 16. With the Bavarians missing key attacker, our prediction leans toward 1-1 draw. The Orobici did well to overcome a two-goal deficit in the tie with Borussia Dortmund, but they will have a much bigger fish to fry against the Bundesliga powerhouse. The fact that Atalanta have been scoring 2.60 goals per home game of late definitely supports our betting angle. Defender Giorgio Scalvini is banned for the hosts, while midfielder Charles de Ketelaere misses out with injury.
The Bavarians, on the other hand, are on a six-game winning run in all competitions, but with top scorer Harry Kane missing out with injury. Kane was not missed in a 4-1 win over Borussia M’gladbach at the weekend, but beating Atalanta in Bergamo is easier said than done. You should bear in mind that Vincent Kompany’s men have been scoring 2.50 goals per away game in recent weeks. In Kane’s absence, Nicolas Jackson is widely expected to lead the line for the Bundesliga outfit.
Atalanta are capable of scoring at home and given Bayern Munich’s attacking potential, Both Teams to Score market should be considered. Additionally, Luis Diaz to Score and Draw (small stake) bets seem appealing.
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Atalanta vs Bayern Munich prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atalanta 1 - 1 Bayern Munich
Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Harry Kane @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Harry Kane @ 333 Odds
- To be Booked: Marten de Roon @ 225 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atalanta +1.5 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Bayern Munich +1 @ -550 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Bayern Munich to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 600 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Bayern Munich - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Atalanta vs Bayern Munich?
You can place your bets on Atalanta vs Bayern Munich at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAtalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwlwwldd | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Away | dwlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.70 | 1.92 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.13 | 1.54 |
Bayern Munich Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwdwwwwww | 2.50 |
| Home | wlwwww | 2.50 |
| Away | wdww | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.83 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 2.83 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.12 | 2.30 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.03 | 1.37 |
Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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