Atalanta face a tough mission after losing the first leg 2–0 to Borussia Dortmund, but their home form offers hope. As the Orobici need to adopt an attack-minded approach this time out, we predict a 2-2 draw. Raffaele Palladino's men average 2.40 PPG at home, winning 80% of their recent matches in Bergamo and scoring 2.60 goals per home game. Their expected goals at home (1.90) indicates consistent chance creation, though they have failed to score in 30% overall this period. Defensively, Atalanta concede just 1.00 goal per home match, but will need a near-perfect display to overturn the deficit. Both De Ketelaere an Raspadori are out of contention with injuries, while defender Sead Kolasinac is a major doubt.
Borussia Dortmund travel to Bergamo with confidence, unbeaten in five and averaging 2.20 PPG. Their away numbers are solid—1.75 PPG, 50% win rate, and only 0.75 conceded per away game. Their expected goals away (1.79) is notably strong, reflecting efficient chance creation on the break, which suits a team protecting a lead. Defensively, BVB kept 50% clean sheets during this run, reinforcing their stability. Mane, Sule, Schlotterbeck, and Can are all out for the Yellow-Blacks, but strong depth remains.
Considering that Atalanta are strong at home and BVB dangerous in transitions, there is big value in betting on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 goals (Atalanta home AVG 3.60 goals, Dortmund overall 2.90), and Atalanta or Draw (tough to beat at home).
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atalanta 2 - 2 Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy @ 333 Odds
- To be Booked: Marten de Roon @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Borussia Dortmund +0.5 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Borussia Dortmund +1 @ -550 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Cologne to Win @ 275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 600 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Borussia Dortmund - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund?
You can place your bets on Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferAtalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwldwwwlw | 1.70 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | dldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.90 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.17 | 1.73 |
Borussia Dortmund Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwlwwwwd | 2.20 |
| Home | wwlwww | 2.50 |
| Away | lwwd | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.54 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.15 | 1.59 |
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atalanta (0%)
3 Matches
Borussia Dortmund (67%)
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