Athletic Bilbao host PSG in what promises to be an interesting Champions League game. Given PSG's fine form, our prediction points toward a 2-1 away win. The Basque side have collected 1.30 points per game overall this season, buoyed by a strong home record of 1.80 PPG. Bilbao’s defense has been inconsistent, conceding 1.00 goals at home while their attack has struggled to find rhythm, averaging just 1.00 goals per home match with an expected goals of 1.64. Defender Aitor Paredes is banned, though not a first-team regular, but the absence of Aymeric Laporte through a muscle injury is a real blow, as he provides leadership and solidity at the back.
Les Parisiens, on the other hand, are unbeaten in four of their last five with 2.20 points per game, scoring 4.00 goals on average and boasting an xG of 2.33. They will be boosted by Ousmane Dembele’s return to the starting XI, though injuries to full-backs Achraf Hakimi and Nuno Mendes test squad depth. The fact that PSG rolled over Bayer Leverkusen 7-2 in their last away game definitely supports our betting prediction.
Given aforementioned statistical data, Away Win is our main betting choice, with additional value on Over 2.5 Goals and PSG Over 1.5.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 10 December 2025 at 20:00.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs PSG prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 1 - 2 PSG
Athletic Bilbao vs PSG Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ 110 Odds
- To be booked: Aymeric Laporte @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwlw | 1.30 |
| Home | wlwlw | 1.80 |
| Away | llldw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.64 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 1.10 | 1.27 |
PSG Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlw | 2.20 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wwdwl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.33 | 2.69 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.93 | 0.98 | 0.88 |
Athletic Bilbao vs PSG Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (50%)
2 Matches
PSG (50%)
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